Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.191899 0.222285 0.255909 0.295880 0.342108 0.393906 0.456375
2025-08-17 0.137540 0.176346 0.223782 0.286049 0.365687 0.464220 0.595563
2025-08-24 0.114377 0.157322 0.213558 0.292623 0.401042 0.544714 0.749993
2025-08-31 0.096959 0.141229 0.202547 0.293727 0.426072 0.611557 0.892041
2025-09-07 0.084902 0.129955 0.195463 0.297718 0.453630 0.683004 1.047329
2025-09-14 0.072998 0.116800 0.183313 0.291743 0.464515 0.729962 1.170541
2025-09-21 0.064240 0.107032 0.174639 0.289311 0.479529 0.783592 1.308970
2025-09-28 0.058049 0.100413 0.169844 0.292018 0.502376 0.851212 1.476840
2025-10-05 0.054955 0.098458 0.172250 0.306646 0.546272 0.957552 1.721406
2025-10-12 0.051434 0.095250 0.172019 0.316450 0.582591 1.054434 1.960136
2025-10-19 0.048004 0.091735 0.170740 0.324030 0.615457 1.148277 2.203527
2025-10-26 0.044327 0.087279 0.167182 0.326832 0.639523 1.228234 2.429489
2025-11-02 0.040116 0.081385 0.160434 0.323082 0.651272 1.287549 2.625191
2025-11-09 0.035601 0.074357 0.150735 0.312444 0.648332 1.318389 2.768591
2025-11-16 0.033524 0.072010 0.149965 0.319624 0.682016 1.425121 3.079157
2025-11-23 0.031070 0.068566 0.146548 0.320830 0.703252 1.508500 3.349946
2025-11-30 0.029157 0.066045 0.144743 0.325190 0.731571 1.609458 3.670111
2025-12-07 0.026522 0.061609 0.138331 0.318663 0.735122 1.657331 3.877370
2025-12-14 0.024465 0.058240 0.133881 0.316006 0.747003 1.724636 4.136564
2025-12-21 0.023015 0.056109 0.131972 0.318963 0.772125 1.824388 4.483235
2025-12-28 0.022562 0.056299 0.135415 0.334943 0.829854 2.005654 5.046873
2026-01-04 0.021775 0.055580 0.136632 0.345655 0.875981 2.164312 5.573309
2026-01-11 0.020885 0.054503 0.136863 0.353936 0.916983 2.314876 6.096887